I am Forecasting no War

Who starts wars? Wars start when industrialists disagree. With nothing to gain by war, industrialists will sue for  for peace. Billionaires work the international market. The war in Syria is being fought  over economic issues just as are all wars.  The war in Syria mostly relates to petroleum and pipeline issues. The non-petroleum industrialists have nothing to gain from a world war. Probably the industrialists on both sides which are behind the various countries war efforts would rather lose their initiative in Syria than lose even more in the event of an all out world war.

Americans mostly believe that even though they have no representation in congress, our government is controlled from within the United States. In the light of reality, that is not true. The moneyed interest which control the government in the U.S. also control the Russian government. They are highly influential in China also. These folks are not going to let the world’s militaries destroy their markets.

The biggest cash cow the billionaire class has are the asset enhancement initiatives being carried out by our Federal Reserve and the rest of the world’s central banks. The money made by virtue of having government drive up their investments is so great, the rich are even losing the incentive to innovate. Who really needs to do anything if government is going to pay you for just being rich?

A crisis or a potential crisis causes traders who unwittingly think they are participating in an actual market to take bearish positions in the stock market. Short positions are initiated in anticipation of a decline as the crisis worsens. Short sellers must buy back the shares they have sold without owning them at some point. They cover very quickly when the market goes against them. They become the fuel that launches the market into recovery.

Most likely the almost at war crises will be converted into an attempt to launch the stock averages to new highs. Watch for a sudden resolution to the issues in Syria and for that to be accompanied by some of the most wonderful news possible.  The chances are all of this will be used as an opportunity to create huge gains for the financially elite who are the only group your government actually serves.

 

 

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About Fantasy Free Economics

James Quillian independent scholar,free market economist,and teacher of natural law. Who is James Quillian? Certainly I am nobody special, Just a tireless academic and deep thinker. Besides that, I have broken the code with respect to economics and political science. Credentials? Nothing you would be impressed with. I am not a household name. It is hard to become famous writing that virtually no one in the country is genuinely not in touch with reality. But, if I did not do that, there would be no point in my broking the broken the code. If you read the blog, it is easy to see that there are just a few charts, no math and no quantitative analysis. That is not by accident. Given what I know, those items are completely useless. I do turn out to be highly adept at applying natural law. Natural law has predominance over any principles the social science comes up. By virtue of understanding natural law, I can debunk, in just a few sentences , any theory that calls for intervention by a government. My taking the time to understand the ins and outs of Keynes General Theory is about like expecting a chemistry student to completely grasp all that the alchemists of the middle ages thought they understood in efforts to turn base metals into goal. Keynesian theory clearly calls for complete objectivity. Government can only make political decisions. Keynesian techniques call for economic decisions. So, why go any further with that? Fantasy Free Economics is in a sense a lot like technical analysis. Technical analysis began with the premise that it was impossible to gain enough information studying fundamentals to gain a trading advantage. Study the behavior of investors instead. Unlike technical analysis, I don't use technical charts. What I understand are the incentives of different people and entities active in the economics arena. For example, there is no such thing as an incentive to serve with life in the aggregate. In the aggregate, only self interest applies. It is routinely assumed otherwise. That is highly unappealing. But, I am sorry. That is the way it is. I can accept that because I am genuinely in touch with reality. Step one in using Fantasy Free Economics is for me to understand just how little I really know. A highly credentialed economist may know 100 times what I do based on the standard dogma. Compare the knowledge each of us has compared to all there is to know and we both look like we know nothing at all. There is always more than we don't know than what we do know. I am humble enough to present myself on that basis. Why? That is the way it is. I am not bad at math. I have taught math. What I understand is when to use it and when to rely on something else. Math is useless in natural law so I don't use it. While others look at numbers, I am busy understanding the forces in nature that makes their numbers what they are. That gives me a clear advantage.
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