Our War Time Economy

Folks everywhere are scratching their heads asking how so many people can be worse off when economic numbers are so good? Like most questions it can be answered just by observing without insisting the answer is something else more palatable.

Despite the fact that there is no major war going on, our economy today functions like a way time economy. During the 40s, the U. S. economy was taken over by the government for the duration of the war. The official economic numbers improved dramatically over those experienced during the 30s. With a war time economy, it is understood that what is being produced in abundance is only temporary. Peoples needs are not being satisfied. Consumer needs are put on hold while the national emergency is dealt with.

The production in today’s economy is different than what would occur during a war but the effect is the same. Creating economic activity by government edict accomplishes the same thing as does a war time economy because demand does not  come by way of organic consumer spending. During a war those who prosper in business are the ones congress chooses to prosper.

The choice after the Great Recession (2008) was to enhance the value of financial assets and to allow select industries to use legislation to capture customers. The enormous sums Americans pay for healthcare is due to government edict.

What is important is that a war time economy producing economic growth, even without a war, will in the end produce the same outcome as a war time economy with a war. Failure is the end result of any command economy if it is left in tact.

There are a number of reasons why the economy took off following WWII. The big reason of course is that after Roosevelt died business investment began increasing in a normal way.

Today is different. Business is doing the opposite of investing in plant and equipment. With corporate buybacks, executives have learned that the short cut to windfall profits is to enhance the value of  the companies stock. What we will get from all of the government economic initiatives is an economic collapse. In a war time economy, government control is called off and things normalize and move forward. In today’s economy, the command portion is growing by leaps and bounds. There is not a good future to look forward to because there is no planned end to the corruption in the system.

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

Fantasy Free Economics recommends the following blogs.
Woodpiler Report
Of Two Minds
Liberty Blitzkrieg
Mises Institute
Straight Line Logic
Paul Craig Roberts

 

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They Are Not Going To Quit

If the stock market drops, the Deep State is out of business. So, the stock market is not going to drop. As a matter of fact priority number one in Washington is to make sure the Deep State stays in business. The Deep State only faces two dangers that I can think of. Although unlikely, the public could wake up and discover that the Deep State is a crime syndicate. The public is controllable because the Deep State owns the media. Unless given serious attention the stock market has a mind of its own. The stock market simply can’t be allowed to fall.

As this rally was starting, it was largely treated as a bear market rally. I wrote this article  Don’t Dismiss This Rally. You can expect heroic efforts at controlling the market from now until the country is destroyed. They won’t quit. They will die first.

The Deep State has cornered the stock market enough to where they can control trends by buying outright. The risk to them is minimal since they are increasing the value of their holdings. Since they know they are going to push the market up ahead of time, they can buy derivatives, and make a profit there also. Make no mistake. Failure in the stock market is not an option for the Deep State.

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

Fantasy Free Economics recommends the following blogs.
Woodpiler Report
Of Two Minds
Liberty Blitzkrieg
Mises Institute
Straight Line Logic
Paul Craig Roberts

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They Are Cornering The Market

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You might notice that the market is going up, and based on traditional analysis it looks like that should be impossible. The problem you are having is that you don’t realize that Deep State operators have been cornering the market over the last two decades. Once all of the world’s equities are concentrated in the hands of a few, rigging the market to go up is a piece of cake.

When the rally began I posted the article Don’t Dismiss This Rally. Earlier on I published Decoding Stock Market Manipulation. They are booth good to read and re read. Continue reading

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Personality Characteristics Economics and Politics

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One of the forgotten goals of economics or political science is to predict ahead of time what leaders and others are likely to do given certain situations. An important question always, is what type of person is likely to become a president or congressman? Debate continues as to how much of a personality characteristic is inborn and how much of it is learned. My personal view is that people are born with strong propensities to behave one way or another. Continue reading

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History’s Greatest Cash Cow

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History’s Greatest Cash Cow

Federal Reserve policy is and has been all along been a political directive to elevate and maintain asset prices, especially stocks.

Nature provides just one basic incentive, self interest. In economics studies and models, the incentive to serve is assumed into existence. In the real world there is no such incentive. Continue reading

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Further Into No Man’s Land

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The basic disconnect is the notion that government is administering justice or even attempting to. The only process of government being used is that of serving as ,a medium for all who can, to get what they want.  Those who have political power get what they want. All others pay, expect something but get nothing.

The general public is always disconnected. That is no call for alarm. It is extremely bothersome that virtually all who write conservative blogs or conservative political commentary write on the basis, that government’s role of administering justice is ongoing. Who wants to be labeled a kook for writing the truth? Continue reading

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Organized Crime Owns Your Government

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“Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote!”

_ Benjamin Franklin

Benjamin Franklin was terribly misguided when he made that quote. Democracy had never been thoroughly tried, so he can be forgiven for not foreseeing that there were more serious issues with the abuse of democracy than what originates with ordinary people. So, the United States is organized as a republic and that is supposed to keep the masses from voting everything in the treasury into their own pockets.

Over the years, new sophisticated systems of exploiting weaknesses in democracy have evolved and are now used. Experience shows that the poor do not have the wherewithal to petition government. The poor have not actually tried to take anything from the rich.

The unwashed masses actually have presented no threat to any moneyed interests in the United States. They have proven to be a constituency worth buying by providing a few benefits to them over the years. But, no money has ever been voted out of anyone else’s pockets based on any actions by the poor. Instead, democracy turns out to be an incubator for crime, especially of the organized variety.

Organized crime, by financing campaigns and running its own candidates has taken over government. Why would they not? Who is to stop them? Suppose an organized crime syndicate is worried about the FBI. Why not just buy the FBI? Why break a law? Just pass a new law legalizing a previously illegal activity.

What do they do to keep the keep the public on their side? They buy all of the media outlets and make sure citizens only hear what they want them to hear.

Americans get confused. They see a massive group of migrants marching towards the border. The march is reported on as if it was some kind of organic event that has just sprang up. The migrants are presented as if they are no different than any other people coming to the United States looking for a better life. But they are different. The march is orchestrated and masses of poor people entering the country have great economic benefit to the elite who finance and organize these events.

The founding fathers were right, that with democracy, some potential threats would have to be addressed. They did not anticipate that organized crime would take over the country. There is talk about “the shadow government.” There really is no such thing. It is organized crime that dictates policy to congress. It is organized crime that causes senators and congressmen to step down, when their re-election is a sure thing.

But, many Americans benefit from the things organized crime does. That is temporary but some Americans will always benefit and that makes it difficult to re-establish law and order.

The founding fathers, like all historical figures were not at all like they have always been popularly portrayed. They were motivated out of self interest like all living entities are. The founding fathers did not provide a method for testing the constitutionality of laws. They may very well have purposefully left openings for the exploitation of ordinary people. The Supreme Court, a political body, ended up with the role of deciding constitutionality of laws.

 

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

Fantasy Free Economics recommends the following blogs.

Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts

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Don’t Dismiss This Rally

Have I ever said that I rely on facts when I make a forecast? Decisions are made in the present moment. With one exception, the present moment is devoid of facts. We just don’t know who is doing what at exactly now. We do know people’s incentives and those are facts. So when for purposes of decision making, we assume folks are acting in keeping with the incentives that are in front of them, we are being prudent.

To the elite, the stock market is like a bank. Stock is money to the rich. They convert it into currency to spend it but they don’t have to. They can borrow against it. While stock lacks a few important characteristics of good money it possess others in abundance. Most importantly, it is scarce. The scarcity of stock is being purposefully increased, while for the longest time, the scarcity of our currency has been severely reduced. Isn’t that a cute way to transfer wealth?

It is no accident that the amount of tradeable stock is being severely reduced.  As stock leaves the market, the market gets easier and easier to manipulate higher. With the majority of stock in the control of folks who manipulate, pushing stocks higher and higher becomes easier and easier.  Only about 15% of volume involves stock actually changing hands. The other 85% is skimming money, a lot of which is coordinated with Federal Reserve activity. It doesn’t take a lot of Deep State Money to generate an uptrend.

It looks like the Deep State Syndicate has decided that actually buying at this point will increase the value of their total holdings. Up to this point very little of this kind of money has been used to buy outright to determine the direction of the market. It looks like that has changed.

It is better to risk some money in order to increase the value of all holdings than to let a decline continue and take enormous losses.

The chart at the top is an indicator that measures ETF volume relative to stock volume. When ETF volume rises in the way it has over the past three days, you can count on a heroic effort to get the market moving higher. What this looks like to me is the beginning of a “no matter what it takes” decision to move the market up.

Another indicator I keep for sentiment is the ratio of TZA volume to TNA volume. For those unfamiliar, these are the 3X bear and bull ETFs for small capitalization stocks. This ration has moved drastically in the TNA direction. This has not happened in anything close to this magnitude in the history of these two securities. When it is time for demonstrative action there is boat loads of buying in derivatives at critical points.

I think we can count on an elevated level of affirmative action for the foreseeable future.

Very few Americans actually own stock so it is common to assume no damage is done by an ever rising stock market. I am telling you. It will destroy the country. How? That will have to be a topic for another article.

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

 

 

 

Fantasy Free Economics Recommends the following blogs.
Woodpiler Report Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts

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It Is Much Worse Than It Looks

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The mention of the Plunge Protection Team is a trial balloon. How much in the name of bailouts is the public willing to swallow? Suppose the public turns out to be less than enthusiastic to the idea of of serving a giant crime syndicate for a few more decades?  Does that mean no bailouts? That would only mean more force would have to be used to convince the public to be more patriotic. Who knows? The public might swallow the whole thing. Americans are trained from infants to promote their own poverty. They have been doing just that enthusiastically since the middle of the Reagan administration.

My point here today is that we are entering an actual depression, not a recession. This is one of those once or twice in a lifetime events where entire populations in all countries will be offered a look at reality.

I have been posting videos on the new Fantasy Free Economics YouTube channel.  So far they all focus on reality and the choices a person can make in choosing the right version of reality to adhere to.

Why Youtube? With a Youtube channel it is possible to reach a broad section of society. If you have ever tried to spread the truth around, you already know it is a tough sell. If you like this blog, Don’t be shy about posting sharing these videos and the articles as well. Actually, the truth is always free. People pay to hear any other alternative, and mostly only engage in truth seeking only when their fantasy world collapses around them.

It turns out that at this very moment fantasy worlds are unraveling all around the globe. The economic abyss we are falling into is much worse than can be easily fathomed.  Decades can go by where entire populations are completely out of touch with reality and happy just because of it. Today’s issues are so serious, our political system as well as our economy may not survive.  Why get in touch with reality? At this point, it may turn out to be necessary in order to survive and keep from losing everything you own.

Of course I adopt the version of reality nature provides. That version is not very popular but it could very well be the only one left a little further down the road. When reality catches up with mankind suffering goes parabolic.
The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

 

 

 

Fantasy Free Economics Recommends the following blogs.
Woodpiler Report Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts

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The Lethal Side of Fantasy

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In my Fantasy Free Economics theories, unlike mainstream economics I recognize self interest as the only relevant incentive with respect to aggregate economics. Mainstream economists assume the imaginary incentive to serve, which is a completely erroneous assumption. The incentive to serve is born of the need to be taken care of, by a benevolent, more powerful entity. Self interest does not disappear when a person leaves the private sector for the public sector. This seemingly innocent fantasy has the potential of being lethal to our way of life. Continue reading

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