The Economy And Stock Market What To Expect

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You will hear news about the trade war as well as new and improved ways  prevent  the economy from going into a depression. There will be news reports connecting an economic downturn to something that is happening the very day economic troubles become acknowledged. It will be blamed on some development in the trade war or some change in a Federal Reserve policy. It will be blamed on something the president said or did on a given day. It may even be blamed on immigration policy.  It will be blamed on something in the news for sure. Pay these things no mind.

Central economic planning is the cause of economic headwinds. Efforts to eliminate the business cycle may have been successful according to raw government statistics. Eliminating the business cycle and doing away with small recessions guarantees an eventual life changing depression. Why? Recessions are signals to producers that they have produced too much of  one thing and need to re-figure out what consumers are likely to to be more interested in buying.

This is never mentioned but at the bottom of the depression in the 1930s, prosperity in the United States was higher than any level of prosperity ever achieved in a command economy. For example, the old Soviet Union was completely successful in eliminating its business cycle. In being successful in doing that prosperity of any kind disappeared. Central economic planning in the United States will destroy life in the United States just as it did in the old Soviet Union. Ronald Reagan did not destroy the old Soviet Union. The old Soviet Union destroyed itself.

Central economic planning has always handicapped the U. S. economy. After passage of the Full Employment Act of 1978 Central Economic Planning was mandated and is now the law of the land.  Who gets what in the economy is now determined by who has political power and not by who has money to spend. With the acceleration of central economic planning, lobbying efforts have increased manifold. With central economic planning as the law of the land, government is now the go to place for strong financial interests to take advantage of the rest of societies members who have little political power.

The coming depression is a given. Count on it. It is going to happen. The economy is already rotting from the bottom up. The growing number of homeless is a clear sign.  Those with the least political power are the first to suffer. Whatever your level of prosperity, the misery is chasing you up the food chain ladder and you won’t be able to escape. When the economic rot at the bottom is pervasive enough, the top of the economy will collapse and there will me misery abound. The possible outcomes of chaos are not predictable. When the calamity hits, the public is highly likely to opt for more central. Intellectuals will seize the opportunity to profit from the pretense of knowledge and accommodate all who still have confidence in government economic solutions. Basically more of what has caused the difficulties will likely be used to try and remedy the problems. Just be ready because things are going to get very very bad.

The stock market is no longer a leading indicator. Stock prices are managed with organized support. The stock market now serves more like a judas goat.   Specially trained goats have been used as a means of gently enticing sheep to peacefully follow such goats to be slaughtered.  That is the function of the stock market today. 

Right now the U.S. stock market market is at a critical juncture as are foreign stock Markets. All major indexes around the world are in in long term consolidation patterns. Any stock market that looks like it will break down below its consolidation pattern is going to get as much organized support as can be mustered up. The question we all must ask is, what are the limits of resources that can be used to elevate the stock market? That is why I am in cash as an alternative to shorting the market.

U.S 

Germany


China

 

 

 

 

 

Some may remember my forecast from December of 2018.  Don’t Dismiss This Rally This was at a time when most others were convinced that a bear market had started and it had a long way to go. I knew right away that organized support had come in and would push the market higher than anyone was expecting. I am honestly not that good of a stock market analyst. I may be above average but I am not psychic for sure. What I am good at is discovering that non organic forces are distorting a market. That doesn’t happen that often but it is happening and has been the driving behind high stock prices. My work is based on natural and natural law never fails, at least it hasn’t failed yet.

For more insight as to how the stock market is being used, this is an earlier article clarifying that. The Horse The Economy Rides, The Stock Market

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

 

 

Fantasy Free Economics YouTube Channel

Fantasy Free Economics Recommends the following blogs.
Woodpiler Report Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts

Dont Dismiss This Rally

 

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The Horse The Economy Rides, The Stock Market

The Horse The Economy Rides PDF Version

The theory is that a controlled perpetual uptrend in stocks that is unshakable  will carry the economy with it. And, it has as long as folks are happy the upper one percent grows in prosperity while the rest of the country suffers  from shrinking real incomes. Yes, GDP which is quite malleable because there are so many wild cards used in its method of calculation, can be anything it needs to be in a given quarter. Continue reading

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Applying Natural Law To Economics

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The discipline of economics in the aggregate is fatally flawed because of a complete ignorance natural law. As intricate as economic theory is, it never has a chance of working as intended because it is flawed from the beginning. The most elaborate theories can be debunked in  a sentence or two by pointing out that influences at the most basic level are not even known about much less considered. Continue reading

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Advice for LGBT Efforts

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This is not criticism of the goals of people in the LGBT movement. It really is advice and nothing more. It is human nature for all of us to try and elevate the perception others have of us. I have no way of knowing how and why certain people have different attributes. I am not foolish enough to proclaim that I know anything at all as to why one person turns out one way and someone else turns out another. Continue reading

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The Sensation Of Understanding

Download PDF Version                                                                            September 15 2019

I make no secret of the fact that I teach natural law as well as economics. The discipline of economics is rooted in natural law and the basis of economics is drawn from natural law, but only a few principles are used. The rest is discarded. Examples of natural law as part of economics are the laws of supply and demand.  It is a natural law that people will buy more at a lower price than at a higher price. Continue reading

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How To Knock Off A Conspiracy

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Who is looking for conspiracies? Who is participating in a conspiracy? Why that would be you and I. Are conspiracies illegal? Are all conspiracies secret? I suppose a conspiracy can be illegal. Plotting to overthrow the government outside of the democratic process is illegal. Conspiring to change the nature of government by using the democratic process is perfectly legal. Continue reading

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The Role Of Conspiracy Theory

Adam Smith is routinely referred to as the father of free market economic thought. Was Adam Smith also the father of conspiracy theory? If not, he certainly explained how natural the formation of conspiracies is a constant influence in economic issues.
“People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices.”
Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations
If the value of conspiracy theory was taught in school instead of portraying government as like a  benevolent  parent, citizens might take their required role of reining in government more seriously.
When a doubt is raised as to the veracity of what is being told by official sources, the doubter is deemed a conspiracy theorist. The purpose of that is to dismiss the observation as conspiracy theory. The fact is that all of collective action is comprised of multitudes of layers of conspiracies. Independent initiatives by single actors are minuscule in number and never successful. If a person is to understand the process of government or society in general, identifying conspiracies is absolutely necessary. Not focusing on identifying ongoing conspiracies guarantees failure of all attempts to make constructive changes.
The terms conspiracy theory and conspiracy theorist are used to protect a lie. I have never heard either used in any other way.

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

Fantasy Free Economics YouTube Channel

Fantasy Free Economics recommends the following blogs.

Woodpiler Report Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts Straight Line Logic

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Organized Crime Owns Your Government

                                                                                                                        March 4. 2019

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“Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote!”

_ Benjamin Franklin

Benjamin Franklin was terribly misguided when he made that quote. Democracy had never been thoroughly tried, so he can be forgiven for not foreseeing that there were more serious issues with the abuse of democracy than what originates with ordinary people. So, the United States is organized as a republic and that is supposed to keep the masses from voting everything in the treasury into their own pockets. Continue reading

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The Central Planning Depression

Download PDF Version                                                                                August 17, 2019

The kind of Depression the United States is entering is permanent. There will be no free market recovery because the free market system has been replaced with central economic planning. Recessions in a free market system are short and temporary. There is no free market so there will be no recovery. So, once a recession begins an all out depression will occur ensue. Continue reading

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The Importance Of Covering Up The Epstein Affair

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The terms  conspiracy theory and conspiracy theorist are evoked as a means of protecting a lie. I have never heard either term used in any other way.

Collective action as a matter of fact is conspiracy based. All who approach government for any reason are part of a conspiracy. I don’t know of a case where one and only one person has taken a matter before congress where any kind of change has occurred. There is no way to address problems without observing conspiracies. Conspiracies may or not be secret. If a conspiracy is secret, it is not necessarily illegal. A person acting alone can have nefarious intentions just as can a group of people.

Immediately following the reporting of Epstein’s death, before the news had even been digested, from a chorus of news outlets, warnings were going out about what conspiracy theorists were going to to do with the issue. That alone indicates a plan is in effect. Translated into plain English this means. “If you question what has gone on here, we are going to make a fool out of you.” or, “Don’t listen to anyone who contradicts what you are going to be told over the coming days.” The coordinated use of terms which are used to protect a lie is an indication that a lie is being told.

There are a number of highly unlikely occurrences which took place in the time frame in which Epstein died. I have taken five of these happenings and figured a rough probability that all of these events would take place at the very place and time in the jail by coincidence.

How many jail cells are there in that jail? I don’t know but it is safe to assume quite a few. How many are equipt with a defective camera? Epstein’s cell may have been the only one in the jail with a bad camera. Still lets say 25% of all cameras are not working. That means there was a twentyfive percent chance Epstein would end up being in a cell with a broken camera.  It is odd that a high profile prisoner would end up in a cell with a bad camera. But for now, I won’t question that.

The camera focused on the hall in front of Epstein’s cell was malfunctioning also. Lets go with the extremely high probability that 25% of the hall cameras in the jail were bad also. So, if that many hall cameras are bad, there is a 25% chance the hall camera was bad also.

The probability that both cameras would not be working at a specific place in time would be the probabilities of the two single events multiplied together. That probability would be 6.25% just based on these two unlikely events.

Just for sake of example I am going to go with 25% as the probability the other three events would take place at exactly that time period also.

Two guards were taking naps at exactly the same time. Do all guards nap during their work day? Were they sleeping in the same place? How many other guards at the jail also nap during their work shift? 25% is really high. If sleeping guards was a standard at the jail, the jail would have an even worse reputation than it already does.

There was an agonizing scream from around Epstein’s cell at the time he died. How common are agonizing screams in the jail? Lets say during any hour, there is an agonizing scream from a cell in the prison 25% of the time. That would be quite a lot.

Then Epstein died at 6:30 a.m. when activity in the prison was subdued.

To find the probability all of these weird things happened together right about that time, we just multiply 0.25 by itself 5 times. The final probability that all of these events would occur all at about the same time is and around the same place is .09% which is of course less than 1%.

There is not much chance that Epstein’s death occurred the way it is said to have occurred by official sources.

The art of not knowing is a skill good politicians cultivate. There are lots who know what is going on. They are pretending they don’t know because it is in their personal best interest to assume that posture. Why else would no politicians speak up?

The reasoning is that it is better to let a multitude of important people who are guilty of child sex crimes get off scott free, than it is to allow the the power structure of the world to collapse.  Look at some of the names already known to be on the list.

I read a story one time about a group of parishioners who were concerned that a mob boss was a member of the parish. They told the priest the mobster should be excommunicated. The priest agreed but explained that under current circumstances that was not possible. The mobster tithed more than anyone else and the parish would not survive financially without his money. This is the reasoning of politicians who are not speaking up about what is going on with respect to Jeffrey Epstein. The fallacy in this is based on the misguided approach that the “end justifies the means.”  The nature of the fallacy is that it is the means that produces the final outcome. The story was fiction but the principle holds true.

So, the number of of elites guilty of sex crimes in the Epstein affair is so great that the power structure of the world would crumble if they were all exposed. Would Democrats, Republicans, Deep State, Media, Trump Administration and corporate leadership not have a huge incentive to work together to protect themselves? Is there any reason why they would not work together to make their common problem disappear? There is certainly a greater chance they would than they wouldn’t.

But, those groups never agree on anything you might say. They would get past that to accomplish this. They can argue later.

The truth is a hard sell. Fantasy Free Economics gains readers one at a time. Major search engines simply do not list blogs which disagree with their political agenda. As long as folks share the link to this blog and others speaking out against the grain, the truth will at least trickle into the public consciousness.

Fantasy Free Economics YouTube Channel

Fantasy Free Economics recommends the following blogs.

Woodpiler Report Of Two Minds Liberty Blitzkrieg Mises Institute Straight Line Logic Paul Craig Roberts Straight Line Logic

Link To This Page  <a href=”http://fantasyfreeeconomics.com”>Fantasy Free Economics</a>

 

 

 

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